This dashboard monitors key indicators that historically precede US treasury market stress. Green (安全) means normal conditions, gold (注意) indicates early warning signs, and vermillion (危険) signals potential crisis conditions.
10Y / 2Y / 30Y Yields
Rising yields without Fed action = market demanding risk premium for holding US debt
Yield Spread (10Y-2Y)
Negative = inverted curve, historically precedes recession. Deep inversion = stress
Dollar Index (DXY)
If yields rise but dollar falls = loss of confidence (normally they move together)
VIX (Volatility)
Fear gauge. Spikes above 25-35 indicate market panic
Total Public Debt
US national debt level. Rapid growth increases fiscal stress
Bid-to-Cover Ratio
Auction demand. Below 2.0 = weak demand for Treasuries. Key early warning signal
